← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 5/22/2025
Water FractalTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 5/22/2025
decks
6
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
12-8-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
52.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252
· median 1233
· range 1144–1396
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1183
Q3 1396
1517
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.2% | +1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 48.7% | -1.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seiryuu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.8% | +1.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Neos | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.8% | +1.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
