← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 5/22/2025

Water FractalTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 5/22/2025

decks
6 (18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20 12-8-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2% avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
52.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252 · median 1233 · range 1144–1396 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1183 Q3 1396 1517
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Astra Cleric 9.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.2% +1.2
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Fire Aggro 6.1% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 48.7% -1.0
Fire Suzaku 6.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.2
Fire Umbra Ranger 6.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.5% -0.8
Crux Lorraine 3.0% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.7% +1.1
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -1.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.5
Fire Tera Diao Chan 3.0% 0
Seiryuu 3.0% 0
Water Genbu 3.0% 0
Water Tera Cleric 3.0% 0
Water Tera Mage 3.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% -0.0
Wind Allies 3.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.8% +1.8
Wind Byakko 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Wind Luxem Assassin 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Neos 3.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.8% +1.8
Wind Razorgale 3.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Decklists · 6 from this event

JSON: /api/events/25422/archetypes/Water Fractal